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2024-12-13 05:47:01

Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."Russian Foreign Ministry: The transfer of US$ 20 billion to Ukraine by the United States on the grounds of freezing Russian assets is "simply robbery".Turkish President Erdogan: We have reached a joint memorandum with Ethiopia and Somalia.


Bank of Canada: Trump's tariff threat has brought "significant" uncertainty to Canada's economy. Bank of Canada Governor Mackler said on Wednesday that US President-elect Trump promised to impose a 25% tariff on goods imported from Canada at the beginning of his term of office, which constitutes an uncertain factor and may aggravate the general economic chaos in Canada.FBI Director: He will resign before Trump takes office. FBI Director Christopher Babers announced at a town hall meeting with FBI employees on the 11th that he will resign before Trump takes office. It is reported that Trump appointed Christopher Babers as the director of the FBI in 2017 for a term of 10 years, but since then, Rein's FBI's handling of Trump's investigation has been criticized by Trump and his congressional allies. Trump said that he intends to remove the mine and nominate Cash Patel as the director of the FBI.FBI Director: He will resign before Trump takes office. FBI Director Christopher Babers announced at a town hall meeting with FBI employees on the 11th that he will resign before Trump takes office. It is reported that Trump appointed Christopher Babers as the director of the FBI in 2017 for a term of 10 years, but since then, Rein's FBI's handling of Trump's investigation has been criticized by Trump and his congressional allies. Trump said that he intends to remove the mine and nominate Cash Patel as the director of the FBI.


US Department of Foreign Affairs: Russia has western assets on its territory, which can be used to enhance its own industrial potential.Dollar deposits and wealth management are popular again. Experts suggest paying attention to exchange risk. Although it is in the cycle of interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve, dollar deposit products are still attractive to investors. Since December, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have intensively put on shelves US dollar wealth management products. Judging from the rate of return, the performance benchmark of some US dollar fixed-income wealth management products currently launched is close to 5%, but the performance benchmark of RMB wealth management products with the same risk level is mostly around 2%. According to the statistics of Puyi standard data, as of December 9, there were 1,312 surviving products in US dollar financing, and the surviving scale of US dollar financing reached 281.927 billion yuan, which has doubled from the surviving scale of 140.351 billion yuan at the end of December last year. In addition, although banks have previously lowered the interest rate of dollar deposit products, from the current point of view, the interest rate of some banks' dollar deposits remains above 4%, attracting many customers to buy. In addition, the annual interest rates of US dollar deposit products issued by banks such as Ningbo Bank Co., Ltd. and hengfeng bank Co., Ltd. are also between 3% and 4%. According to industry insiders, under the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, the main reason for the high heat of dollar wealth management and dollar deposits is the exchange rate expectation of a strong dollar. If the market expects the US dollar to appreciate or remain stable, holding US dollar assets (such as US dollar wealth management and US dollar deposits) can benefit from the potential exchange rate appreciation even if interest rates fall. In addition, in order to diversify risks, some investors choose to allocate part of their funds to US dollar assets to realize diversification of asset allocation. (Securities Daily)Nymex January natural gas futures closed up about 6.80% to $3.3780 per million british thermal unit.

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